king_of_nowhere
Topic Opener
Joined: 2014-09-15, 18:35
Posts: 1668
One Elder of Players
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Posted at: 2020-08-18, 15:33
i was almost forgetting that the 18 is today
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niektory
Joined: 2019-06-03, 20:06
Posts: 206
Widelands-Forum-Junkie
Location: Poland
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Posted at: 2020-08-19, 07:00
king_of_nowhere wrote:
hasifarmer-king of mars
fours castles, won by king of mars
In the end I wasn't able to watch it live. I see it was very interesting. It seems better hero training micromanagement of king of mars decided it.
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WorldSavior
Joined: 2016-10-15, 04:10
Posts: 2125
OS: Linux
Version: Recent tournament version
One Elder of Players
Location: Germany
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Posted at: 2020-08-23, 22:23
@king_of_nowhere, mars, the-x:
When would you like to play, maybe sunday?
Wanted to save the world, then I got widetracked
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WorldSavior
Joined: 2016-10-15, 04:10
Posts: 2125
OS: Linux
Version: Recent tournament version
One Elder of Players
Location: Germany
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Posted at: 2020-08-24, 19:10
king_of_nowhere wrote:
all in all, team niEKTORy scored 22-9 on fair duels
If one says that these duels are 50-50-duels, the chance for this is like 1%. This means a lot of bad luck for you, and it looks again like the random generator is not working properly.
Wanted to save the world, then I got widetracked
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hessenfarmer
Joined: 2014-12-11, 23:16
Posts: 2745
One Elder of Players
Location: Bavaria
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Posted at: 2020-08-24, 19:41
WorldSavior wrote:
king_of_nowhere wrote:
all in all, team niEKTORy scored 22-9 on fair duels
If one says that these duels are 50-50-duels, the chance for this is like 1%. This means a lot of bad luck for you, and it looks again like the random generator is not working properly.
the generator is doing its job. As a fight in widelands is more complex than throwing a dice once it matters a lot when you have your hits. E.g you win 6 to one hits and your opponents wins 6 to 5 the result is the same but still you had more luck. the effect can accumulate obviously. And in fact throwing a dice is not even close to what the randomness does in our algorithm.
But as I watched the replay I believe that niEKTORy had a better coordination of movements as well leading to a better momentum. But that is only an impression from the outside
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niektory
Joined: 2019-06-03, 20:06
Posts: 206
Widelands-Forum-Junkie
Location: Poland
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Posted at: 2020-08-24, 20:26
WorldSavior wrote:
If one says that these duels are 50-50-duels, the chance for this is like 1%. This means a lot of bad luck for you, and it looks again like the random generator is not working properly.
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WorldSavior
Joined: 2016-10-15, 04:10
Posts: 2125
OS: Linux
Version: Recent tournament version
One Elder of Players
Location: Germany
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Posted at: 2020-08-24, 20:57
hessenfarmer wrote:
WorldSavior wrote:
king_of_nowhere wrote:
all in all, team niEKTORy scored 22-9 on fair duels
If one says that these duels are 50-50-duels, the chance for this is like 1%. This means a lot of bad luck for you, and it looks again like the random generator is not working properly.
the generator is doing its job.
Then something else is wrong with this match or it's just a sensational result.
As a fight in widelands is more complex than throwing a dice once it matters a lot when you have your hits. E.g you win 6 to one hits and your opponents wins 6 to 5 the result is the same but still you had more luck. the effect can accumulate obviously. And in fact throwing a dice is not even close to what the randomness does in our algorithm.
But as I watched the replay I believe that niEKTORy had a better coordination of movements as well leading to a better momentum. But that is only an impression from the outside
This influences the fair fights only slightly. Even if one says that all of niEKTORy's soldiers hit first (and that all soldiers of the fair fights were atlanteans), the chance is still less than 6% - because winchances of the duel are then 53%: Calculation
niektory wrote:
WorldSavior wrote:
If one says that these duels are 50-50-duels, the chance for this is like 1%. This means a lot of bad luck for you, and it looks again like the random generator is not working properly.
Lol!
Wanted to save the world, then I got widetracked
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hessenfarmer
Joined: 2014-12-11, 23:16
Posts: 2745
One Elder of Players
Location: Bavaria
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Posted at: 2020-08-24, 21:11
WorldSavior wrote:
hessenfarmer wrote:
WorldSavior wrote:
king_of_nowhere wrote:
all in all, team niEKTORy scored 22-9 on fair duels
If one says that these duels are 50-50-duels, the chance for this is like 1%. This means a lot of bad luck for you, and it looks again like the random generator is not working properly.
the generator is doing its job.
Then something else is wrong with this match or it's just a sensational result.
As a fight in widelands is more complex than throwing a dice once it matters a lot when you have your hits. E.g you win 6 to one hits and your opponents wins 6 to 5 the result is the same but still you had more luck. the effect can accumulate obviously. And in fact throwing a dice is not even close to what the randomness does in our algorithm.
But as I watched the replay I believe that niEKTORy had a better coordination of movements as well leading to a better momentum. But that is only an impression from the outside
This influences the fair fights only slightly. Even if one says that all of niEKTORy's soldiers hit first (and that all soldiers of the fair fights were atlanteans), the chance is still less than 6% - because winchances of the duel are then 53%: Calculation
the problem is that this is only true for an indefinite number of fights. In my excel sheet I can adjust number of rounds to fight with 1000 fights per combination I have variations up to 2% in chances per calculation wioth 10000 fights each it is still about 1 % from run to run. So if we take only 25 fights the variation is as big as it was experienced in the match.
niektory wrote:
WorldSavior wrote:
If one says that these duels are 50-50-duels, the chance for this is like 1%. This means a lot of bad luck for you, and it looks again like the random generator is not working properly.
Lol!
Indeed this is a nice one
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king_of_nowhere
Topic Opener
Joined: 2014-09-15, 18:35
Posts: 1668
One Elder of Players
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Posted at: 2020-08-25, 01:39
WorldSavior wrote:
@king_of_nowhere, mars, the-x:
When would you like to play, maybe sunday?
sunday i will just be back from vacation, but it's my brother's birthday, so better not.
i will try to arrange meetings and then will tell my free days
WorldSavior wrote:
Then something else is wrong with this match or it's just a sensational result.
probably it's just a sensational result. 1% chance is supposed to happen every once in a while
Edited: 2020-08-25, 01:40
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WorldSavior
Joined: 2016-10-15, 04:10
Posts: 2125
OS: Linux
Version: Recent tournament version
One Elder of Players
Location: Germany
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Posted at: 2020-08-25, 20:30
king_of_nowhere wrote:
WorldSavior wrote:
@king_of_nowhere, mars, the-x:
When would you like to play, maybe sunday?
sunday i will just be back from vacation, but it's my brother's birthday, so better not.
i will try to arrange meetings and then will tell my free days
okay, i'm looking forward to it
WorldSavior wrote:
Then something else is wrong with this match or it's just a sensational result.
probably it's just a sensational result. 1% chance is supposed to happen every once in a while
Yes
Wanted to save the world, then I got widetracked
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